SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff MU win with a probability of 68.75%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 13.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff MU win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 1-0 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.53%), while for an Aberystwyth Town win it was 1-2 (3.77%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cardiff MU would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cardiff MU | Draw | Aberystwyth Town |
68.75% ( -0.11) | 18.16% ( 0.11) | 13.09% |
| Both teams to score 52.7% ( -0.4) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.21% ( -0.53) | 38.79% ( 0.53) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.9% ( -0.56) | 61.1% ( 0.56) |
| Cardiff MU Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.74% ( -0.17) | 10.26% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 66.39% ( -0.39) | 33.61% ( 0.39) |
| Aberystwyth Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.72% ( -0.34) | 41.28% ( 0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.19% ( -0.3) | 77.81% ( 0.3) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cardiff MU | Draw | Aberystwyth Town |
| 2-0 @ 10.97% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 9.71% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 9.64% ( 0.17)3-0 @ 8.33% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 7.37% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 4.74% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 4.2% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 3.26% ( -0.05)5-0 @ 2.16% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.91% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.86% ( -0.04)Other @ 4.57% Total : 68.74% | 1-1 @ 8.53% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 4.3% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 4.23% ( 0.11)3-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.13% Total : 18.16% | 1-2 @ 3.77% ( -0) 0-1 @ 3.75% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 1.66% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.54% Total : 13.09% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
