SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberystwyth Town win with a probability of 60.58%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Airbus UK Broughton had a probability of 18.26%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aberystwyth Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.94%) and 1-0 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.94%), while for an Airbus UK Broughton win it was 1-2 (4.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Aberystwyth Town | Draw | Airbus UK Broughton |
60.58% ( 0.07) | 21.15% ( -0.04) | 18.26% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 54.73% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.77% ( 0.09) | 42.22% ( -0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.37% ( 0.09) | 64.62% ( -0.09) |
| Aberystwyth Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.5% ( 0.05) | 13.5% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.47% ( 0.1) | 40.53% ( -0.11) |
| Airbus UK Broughton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.27% ( 0.01) | 36.72% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.48% ( 0.01) | 73.51% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aberystwyth Town | Draw | Airbus UK Broughton |
| 2-1 @ 9.96% 2-0 @ 9.94% ( -0)1-0 @ 9.93% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 6.65% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 6.64% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.33% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 3.33% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 3.32% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.67% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.33% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.33% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.17% Total : 60.58% | 1-1 @ 9.94% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.99% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.96% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.11% ( 0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 21.15% | 1-2 @ 4.98% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 4.97% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 2.49% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.67% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.66% ( -0)Other @ 2.5% Total : 18.26% |
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