Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haverfordwest County win with a probability of 59.09%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 19.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Haverfordwest County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.95%) and 2-0 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.29%), while for an Aberystwyth Town win it was 0-1 (5.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Haverfordwest County | Draw | Aberystwyth Town |
59.09% ( -0.11) | 21.8% ( 0.06) | 19.11% ( 0.05) |
Both teams to score 54.13% ( -0.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.21% ( -0.19) | 43.79% ( 0.19) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.82% ( -0.18) | 66.18% ( 0.19) |
Haverfordwest County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.53% ( -0.09) | 14.47% ( 0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.56% ( -0.19) | 42.44% ( 0.19) |
Aberystwyth Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.28% ( -0.05) | 36.72% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.49% ( -0.05) | 73.51% ( 0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Haverfordwest County | Draw | Aberystwyth Town |
1-0 @ 10.27% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.95% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.93% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.41% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 6.4% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.21% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 3.1% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 3.09% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.55% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.2% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.2% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.79% Total : 59.09% | 1-1 @ 10.29% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 5.31% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.98% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 21.8% | 0-1 @ 5.32% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 5.16% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.67% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.72% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.58% Total : 19.11% |
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