SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haverfordwest County win with a probability of 63.19%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Airbus UK Broughton had a probability of 17.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Haverfordwest County win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.16%) and 1-3 (7.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.22%), while for an Airbus UK Broughton win it was 2-1 (4.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Haverfordwest County would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Airbus UK Broughton | Draw | Haverfordwest County |
17.92% ( -0.02) | 18.88% ( -0.02) | 63.19% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 62.4% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.04% ( 0.07) | 31.96% ( -0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.48% ( 0.09) | 53.51% ( -0.08) |
| Airbus UK Broughton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.11% ( 0.02) | 30.89% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.82% ( 0.03) | 67.17% ( -0.03) |
| Haverfordwest County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.29% ( 0.03) | 9.71% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67.64% ( 0.07) | 32.35% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Airbus UK Broughton | Draw | Haverfordwest County |
| 2-1 @ 4.83% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 3.52% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.2% ( 0)2-0 @ 2.07% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 1.89% ( -0)Other @ 3.41% Total : 17.92% | 1-1 @ 8.22% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.63% ( 0)0-0 @ 3% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.71% ( 0)Other @ 0.33% Total : 18.88% | 1-2 @ 9.58% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 8.16% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 7.45% ( 0.01)0-1 @ 6.99% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 6.34% ( 0)2-3 @ 4.38% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 4.34% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 3.7% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 2.55% ( 0.01)1-5 @ 2.03% ( 0.01)0-5 @ 1.72% ( 0)2-5 @ 1.19% ( 0)3-4 @ 1% ( 0)Other @ 3.77% Total : 63.19% |
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