Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 5

Sep 3, 2022 at 2.30pm UK

New Bridge Meadow Stadium

Haverfordwest
2 - 3
Newtown

Rees (15'), Wilson (45+2')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Robles (29'), Williams (64', 85')
Sears (7'), Hughes (11'), Walker (41'), Wharton (90+2'), Wharton (90+2')

Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Haverfordwest County and Newtown AFC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haverfordwest County win with a probability of 57.95%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 18.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Haverfordwest County win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.75%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.98%), while for a Newtown AFC win it was 0-1 (6.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.

Result
Haverfordwest County	Draw	Newtown AFC
57.95% ( -0.45)	23.1% ( 0.11)	18.96% ( 0.35)

Both teams to score 49.71% (

0.28)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.47% (

0.06)

49.53% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.44% (

0.06)

71.56% (

-0.05)

Haverfordwest County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.18% (

-0.13)

16.82% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.2% (

-0.24)

46.8% (

0.25)

Newtown AFC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.77% (

0.44)

40.23% (

-0.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.13% (

0.39)

76.87% (

-0.38)

Score Analysis

Haverfordwest County 57.94%

Newtown AFC 18.96%

Draw 23.09%

Haverfordwest County	Draw	Newtown AFC
1-0 @ 12.06% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 10.75% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 9.79% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.39% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 5.82% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 2.85% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.65% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.59% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.18% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.02% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.93% Total : 57.94%	1-1 @ 10.98% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.77% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.46% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.89% Total : 23.09%	0-1 @ 6.16% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 5% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 2.81% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 1.52% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.12% Total : 18.96%