SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bala Town win with a probability of 56.04%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 21.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bala Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 2-0 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.84%), while for a Caernarfon Town win it was 0-1 (5.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bala Town | Draw | Caernarfon Town |
56.04% ( 0.14) | 22.88% ( -0.04) | 21.07% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 53.73% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.13% ( 0.02) | 45.87% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.82% ( 0.02) | 68.18% ( -0.02) |
| Bala Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.81% ( 0.05) | 16.19% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.33% ( 0.1) | 45.66% ( -0.1) |
| Caernarfon Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.1% ( -0.1) | 35.89% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.33% ( -0.1) | 72.67% ( 0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bala Town | Draw | Caernarfon Town |
| 1-0 @ 10.58% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.87% ( 0)2-0 @ 9.63% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 5.99% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 5.85% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 3.07% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.73% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.66% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.4% ( 0)5-1 @ 0.99% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 0.97% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.3% Total : 56.04% | 1-1 @ 10.84% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.81% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.06% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.89% | 0-1 @ 5.95% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 5.55% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 3.05% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.85% Total : 21.07% |
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