Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bala Town win with a probability of 58.71%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Flint Town United had a probability of 19.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bala Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.76%) and 2-0 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.15%), while for a Flint Town United win it was 1-2 (5.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bala Town would win this match.