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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bala Town win with a probability of 60.99%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 17.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bala Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.48%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.13%), while for a Newtown AFC win it was 0-1 (5.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bala Town | Draw | Newtown AFC |
60.99% ( -0.1) | 21.4% ( 0.04) | 17.62% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 52.63% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.62% ( -0.1) | 44.38% ( 0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.24% ( -0.09) | 66.76% ( 0.1) |
| Bala Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.93% ( -0.06) | 14.07% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.33% ( -0.12) | 41.67% ( 0.13) |
| Newtown AFC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.25% ( 0.01) | 38.74% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.52% ( 0.01) | 75.48% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bala Town | Draw | Newtown AFC |
| 1-0 @ 10.69% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 10.48% 2-1 @ 9.94% 3-0 @ 6.85% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 6.5% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 3.36% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 3.19% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.08% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.51% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.32% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.25% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.82% Total : 60.98% | 1-1 @ 10.13% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.45% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.71% ( 0)3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 21.39% | 0-1 @ 5.17% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 4.81% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 2.45% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.52% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.49% ( 0)Other @ 2.18% Total : 17.62% |
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