Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bala Town win with a probability of 52.44%. A win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 24.27% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bala Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.58%) and 2-0 (8.55%). The likeliest Newtown AFC win was 1-2 (6.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.
