SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff MU win with a probability of 56.84%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 20.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff MU win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.91%) and 2-0 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.51%), while for a Caernarfon Town win it was 0-1 (5.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cardiff MU | Draw | Caernarfon Town |
56.84% ( -0.07) | 22.33% ( 0.06) | 20.83% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 55.2% ( -0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.26% ( -0.27) | 43.74% ( 0.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.87% ( -0.27) | 66.13% ( 0.27) |
| Cardiff MU Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.82% ( -0.11) | 15.17% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.21% ( -0.22) | 43.79% ( 0.22) |
| Caernarfon Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.07% ( -0.15) | 34.93% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.33% ( -0.16) | 71.67% ( 0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cardiff MU | Draw | Caernarfon Town |
| 1-0 @ 9.99% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 9.91% ( -0)2-0 @ 9.42% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 6.23% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 5.92% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.28% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 2.94% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 2.79% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.54% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.11% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.05% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.66% Total : 56.84% | 1-1 @ 10.51% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 5.3% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 5.21% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.33% | 0-1 @ 5.58% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 5.53% ( -0)0-2 @ 2.93% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.03% ( -0)Other @ 2% Total : 20.83% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
