SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 59.25%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Cardiff MU had a probability of 19.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.93%) and 1-0 (8.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.62%), while for a Cardiff MU win it was 1-2 (5.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Connah's Quay Nomads would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Connah's Quay Nomads | Draw | Cardiff MU |
59.25% ( -0.21) | 20.93% ( 0.06) | 19.82% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 58.41% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.28% ( -0.04) | 38.72% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.97% ( -0.05) | 61.03% ( 0.05) |
| Connah's Quay Nomads Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.22% ( -0.07) | 12.78% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.93% ( -0.16) | 39.07% ( 0.16) |
| Cardiff MU Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.97% ( 0.13) | 33.03% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.38% ( 0.14) | 69.62% ( -0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Connah's Quay Nomads | Draw | Cardiff MU |
| 2-1 @ 9.9% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.93% ( -0.03)1-0 @ 8.68% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 6.79% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 6.13% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.76% ( 0)4-1 @ 3.49% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 3.15% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.93% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.44% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.3% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.76% Total : 59.25% | 1-1 @ 9.62% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.48% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 4.22% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.39% ( 0)Other @ 0.22% Total : 20.93% | 1-2 @ 5.33% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 4.68% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 2.59% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.02% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.97% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.29% Total : 19.82% |
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