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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff MU win with a probability of 38.25%. A win for Haverfordwest County had a probability of 35.74% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff MU win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (6.44%). The likeliest Haverfordwest County win was 0-1 (9.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cardiff MU | Draw | Haverfordwest County |
38.25% ( 0.09) | 26.01% ( -0.02) | 35.74% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 54.15% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.75% ( 0.09) | 50.25% ( -0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.8% ( 0.08) | 72.2% ( -0.08) |
| Cardiff MU Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.31% ( 0.09) | 25.69% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.4% ( 0.13) | 60.6% ( -0.13) |
| Haverfordwest County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.88% ( 0) | 27.12% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.49% ( 0) | 62.51% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cardiff MU | Draw | Haverfordwest County |
| 1-0 @ 9.47% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.4% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 6.44% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.8% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.92% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.48% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.29% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 0.99% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.47% Total : 38.25% | 1-1 @ 12.35% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.97% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 5.48% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 26% | 0-1 @ 9.09% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 8.06% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.93% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.51% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.58% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.38% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.14% ( -0)Other @ 3.04% Total : 35.74% |
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