SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff MU win with a probability of 43.02%. A win for Pen-y-Bont had a probability of 32.62% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff MU win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.34%) and 2-0 (6.64%). The likeliest Pen-y-Bont win was 1-2 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cardiff MU | Draw | Pen-y-Bont |
43.02% ( 0) | 24.35% ( 0) | 32.62% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 59.16% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.55% ( -0.01) | 43.45% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.16% ( -0.01) | 65.84% ( 0.01) |
| Cardiff MU Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.66% ( -0) | 20.34% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.27% ( -0) | 52.73% ( 0) |
| Pen-y-Bont Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.26% ( -0) | 25.73% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.34% ( -0.01) | 60.66% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cardiff MU | Draw | Pen-y-Bont |
| 2-1 @ 9.01% 1-0 @ 8.34% ( 0)2-0 @ 6.64% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.78% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.52% 3-2 @ 3.25% 4-1 @ 1.91% 4-0 @ 1.4% 4-2 @ 1.29% Other @ 2.89% Total : 43.03% | 1-1 @ 11.31% 2-2 @ 6.12% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.23% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.47% ( -0)Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.34% | 1-2 @ 7.68% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.1% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.82% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.48% 2-3 @ 2.77% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.18% 1-4 @ 1.18% ( -0)2-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.48% Total : 32.62% |
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