SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 52.89%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Bala Town had a probability of 23.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.72%) and 2-0 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.34%), while for a Bala Town win it was 0-1 (6.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Connah's Quay Nomads | Draw | Bala Town |
52.89% ( 0.51) | 23.89% ( -0.11) | 23.21% ( -0.4) |
| Both teams to score 53.34% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.24% ( 0.08) | 47.76% ( -0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.05% ( 0.07) | 69.95% ( -0.07) |
| Connah's Quay Nomads Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.99% ( 0.22) | 18.01% ( -0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.11% ( 0.38) | 48.88% ( -0.38) |
| Bala Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.06% ( -0.31) | 34.93% ( 0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.32% ( -0.33) | 71.67% ( 0.33) |
| Score Analysis |
| Connah's Quay Nomads | Draw | Bala Town |
| 1-0 @ 10.78% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.72% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 9.25% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 5.56% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 5.28% ( 0.1)3-2 @ 2.92% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.38% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 2.26% ( 0.06)4-2 @ 1.25% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.48% Total : 52.89% | 1-1 @ 11.34% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 6.29% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 5.11% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.89% | 0-1 @ 6.62% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 5.96% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 3.48% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.05% Total : 23.21% |
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