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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 48.98%. A win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 26.09% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.46%) and 0-2 (8.63%). The likeliest Newtown AFC win was 1-0 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Newtown AFC | Draw | Connah's Quay Nomads |
26.09% ( 0.13) | 24.92% ( 0.02) | 48.98% ( -0.15) |
| Both teams to score 53.09% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.46% ( 0.03) | 49.54% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.43% ( 0.03) | 71.56% ( -0.03) |
| Newtown AFC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.57% ( 0.13) | 33.43% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.94% ( 0.14) | 70.06% ( -0.14) |
| Connah's Quay Nomads Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.75% ( -0.05) | 20.25% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.41% ( -0.08) | 52.59% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Newtown AFC | Draw | Connah's Quay Nomads |
| 1-0 @ 7.42% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 6.49% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 4.06% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 2.37% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.89% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.48% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.37% Total : 26.09% | 1-1 @ 11.84% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.77% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.18% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.92% | 0-1 @ 10.81% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 9.46% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 8.63% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 5.04% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 4.6% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.76% ( 0)1-4 @ 2.01% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.84% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.74% Total : 48.98% |
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