Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bala Town win with a probability of 58.09%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Connah's Quay Nomads had a probability of 20.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bala Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.59%) and 2-0 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.17%), while for a Connah's Quay Nomads win it was 1-2 (5.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bala Town would win this match.
