Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bala Town win with a probability of 58.09%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Connah's Quay Nomads had a probability of 20.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bala Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.59%) and 2-0 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.17%), while for a Connah's Quay Nomads win it was 1-2 (5.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bala Town would win this match.

Result
Bala Town	Draw	Connah's Quay Nomads
58.09%	21.74%	20.16%

Both teams to score 56.11%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.98%

42.02%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.57%

64.43%

Bala Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.8%

14.2%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.09%

41.91%

Connah's Quay Nomads Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.39%

34.61%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.67%

71.33%

Score Analysis

Bala Town 58.09%

Connah's Quay Nomads 20.16%

Draw 21.74%

Bala Town	Draw	Connah's Quay Nomads
2-1 @ 9.93% 1-0 @ 9.59% 2-0 @ 9.36% 3-1 @ 6.47% 3-0 @ 6.09% 3-2 @ 3.43% 4-1 @ 3.16% 4-0 @ 2.97% 4-2 @ 1.67% 5-1 @ 1.23% 5-0 @ 1.16% Other @ 3.02% Total : 58.09%	1-1 @ 10.17% 2-2 @ 5.27% 0-0 @ 4.91% 3-3 @ 1.21% Other @ 0.17% Total : 21.74%	1-2 @ 5.4% 0-1 @ 5.21% 0-2 @ 2.77% 1-3 @ 1.91% 2-3 @ 1.86% 0-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.03% Total : 20.16%