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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 47.26%. A win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 27.2% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.28%) and 0-2 (8.48%). The likeliest Newtown AFC win was 1-0 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Newtown AFC | Draw | Connah's Quay Nomads |
27.2% ( -0.11) | 25.54% ( -0.07) | 47.26% ( 0.18) |
| Both teams to score 52.08% ( 0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.7% ( 0.2) | 51.3% ( -0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.87% ( 0.18) | 73.13% ( -0.17) |
| Newtown AFC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.52% ( 0.02) | 33.47% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.89% ( 0.02) | 70.11% ( -0.02) |
| Connah's Quay Nomads Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.29% ( 0.17) | 21.71% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.13% ( 0.25) | 54.87% ( -0.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| Newtown AFC | Draw | Connah's Quay Nomads |
| 1-0 @ 7.95% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 6.65% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 4.35% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 2.43% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.85% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.59% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.38% Total : 27.2% | 1-1 @ 12.14% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 7.27% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 5.08% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.53% | 0-1 @ 11.1% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 9.28% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 8.48% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 4.72% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 4.32% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.59% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.8% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 1.65% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.34% Total : 47.26% |
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