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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 48.61%. A win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 27.46% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.2%) and 0-2 (7.8%). The likeliest Newtown AFC win was 2-1 (6.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Connah's Quay Nomads in this match.
| Result | ||
| Newtown AFC | Draw | Connah's Quay Nomads |
27.46% ( -0) | 23.93% ( -0) | 48.61% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 57.52% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.76% ( 0.01) | 44.24% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.38% ( 0.01) | 66.62% ( -0.01) |
| Newtown AFC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.42% ( 0) | 29.58% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.39% ( 0) | 65.6% ( -0) |
| Connah's Quay Nomads Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.68% ( 0) | 18.32% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.59% ( 0.01) | 49.41% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Newtown AFC | Draw | Connah's Quay Nomads |
| 2-1 @ 6.82% ( -0) 1-0 @ 6.6% ( -0)2-0 @ 4.02% ( -0)3-1 @ 2.77% 3-2 @ 2.35% 3-0 @ 1.63% Other @ 3.26% Total : 27.46% | 1-1 @ 11.2% 2-2 @ 5.79% ( 0)0-0 @ 5.42% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.33% Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.93% | 1-2 @ 9.51% 0-1 @ 9.2% ( -0)0-2 @ 7.8% ( -0)1-3 @ 5.38% ( 0)0-3 @ 4.42% ( 0)2-3 @ 3.28% ( 0)1-4 @ 2.28% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.87% 2-4 @ 1.39% Other @ 3.49% Total : 48.61% |
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