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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff MU win with a probability of 48.19%. A win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 28.68% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff MU win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.9%) and 2-0 (7.06%). The likeliest Newtown AFC win was 1-2 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cardiff MU | Draw | Newtown AFC |
48.19% ( 0.07) | 23.13% ( -0.01) | 28.68% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 61.29% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.3% ( -0) | 39.69% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.95% ( -0) | 62.04% |
| Cardiff MU Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.25% ( 0.02) | 16.74% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.33% ( 0.04) | 46.66% ( -0.04) |
| Newtown AFC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.61% ( -0.04) | 26.38% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.46% ( -0.05) | 61.54% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cardiff MU | Draw | Newtown AFC |
| 2-1 @ 9.4% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.9% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.06% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.6% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.2% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.73% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.5% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.88% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.67% ( 0)Other @ 4.25% Total : 48.19% | 1-1 @ 10.51% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.26% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.42% 3-3 @ 1.66% ( -0)Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.12% | 1-2 @ 7.01% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.89% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.92% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.11% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.78% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.04% ( -0)2-4 @ 0.93% ( -0)Other @ 2.27% Total : 28.68% |
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