SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newtown AFC win with a probability of 42.76%. A win for Cardiff MU had a probability of 32.21% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newtown AFC win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.98%) and 0-2 (6.97%). The likeliest Cardiff MU win was 1-0 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cardiff MU | Draw | Newtown AFC |
32.21% ( 0.55) | 25.03% ( -0.17) | 42.76% ( -0.38) |
| Both teams to score 56.63% ( 0.82) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.31% ( 0.97) | 46.68% ( -0.97) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.05% ( 0.9) | 68.95% ( -0.9) |
| Cardiff MU Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.43% ( 0.83) | 27.56% ( -0.83) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.91% ( 1.06) | 63.08% ( -1.06) |
| Newtown AFC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.18% ( 0.24) | 21.82% ( -0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.96% ( 0.36) | 55.04% ( -0.36) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cardiff MU | Draw | Newtown AFC |
| 1-0 @ 7.75% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 7.6% ( 0.1)2-0 @ 4.99% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 3.27% ( 0.12)3-2 @ 2.49% ( 0.11)3-0 @ 2.15% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 1.05% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.91% Total : 32.21% | 1-1 @ 11.79% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 6.02% ( -0.25)2-2 @ 5.79% ( 0.12)3-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.02% | 0-1 @ 9.16% ( -0.31) 1-2 @ 8.98% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 6.97% ( -0.19)1-3 @ 4.56% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 3.54% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 2.94% ( 0.08)1-4 @ 1.73% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 1.35% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.12% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.43% Total : 42.76% |
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