Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 71.92%. A draw had a probability of 16.4% and a win for Bala Town had a probability of 11.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.42%) and 3-0 (8.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.58%), while for a Bala Town win it was 1-2 (3.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.
