SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 75.23%. A draw had a probability of 16.1% and a win for Pen-y-Bont had a probability of 8.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.52%) and 3-0 (10.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.64%), while for a Pen-y-Bont win it was 0-1 (3.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| The New Saints | Draw | Pen-y-Bont |
75.23% ( 0.67) | 16.08% ( -0.32) | 8.69% ( -0.34) |
| Both teams to score 43.86% ( -0.35) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.05% ( 0.35) | 41.94% ( -0.35) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.65% ( 0.35) | 64.35% ( -0.35) |
| The New Saints Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.5% ( 0.26) | 9.5% ( -0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 68.14% ( 0.59) | 31.86% ( -0.59) |
| Pen-y-Bont Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 48.46% ( -0.53) | 51.54% ( 0.53) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 14.29% ( -0.36) | 85.71% ( 0.36) |
| Score Analysis |
| The New Saints | Draw | Pen-y-Bont |
| 2-0 @ 13.56% ( 0.09) 1-0 @ 11.52% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 10.64% ( 0.19)2-1 @ 8.99% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 7.06% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 6.26% ( 0.18)4-1 @ 4.15% ( 0.05)5-0 @ 2.95% ( 0.12)3-2 @ 2.34% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 1.96% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 1.38% ( -0)6-0 @ 1.16% ( 0.06)Other @ 3.26% Total : 75.21% | 1-1 @ 7.64% ( -0.15) 0-0 @ 4.9% ( -0.08)2-2 @ 2.98% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.57% Total : 16.08% | 0-1 @ 3.25% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 2.53% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 1.08% ( -0.05)Other @ 1.84% Total : 8.69% |
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