SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 83.81%. A draw had a probability of 10.7% and a win for Haverfordwest County had a probability of 5.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.67%) and 4-0 (8.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.94%), while for a Haverfordwest County win it was 1-2 (1.76%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.
| Result | ||
| The New Saints | Draw | Haverfordwest County |
83.81% ( -0.08) | 10.66% ( 0.04) | 5.53% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 48.64% ( 0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 73.04% ( 0.03) | 26.96% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 52.57% ( 0.03) | 47.43% ( -0.03) |
| The New Saints Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 95.42% ( -0) | 4.58% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 81.29% ( -0.03) | 18.71% ( 0.03) |
| Haverfordwest County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.98% ( 0.17) | 49.02% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.03% ( 0.12) | 83.97% ( -0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| The New Saints | Draw | Haverfordwest County |
| 3-0 @ 10.97% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 10.67% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 8.46% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 7.82% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 7.61% ( 0.02)1-0 @ 6.93% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 6.03% ( 0)5-0 @ 5.21% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 3.72% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.79% ( 0.02)6-0 @ 2.68% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 2.15% ( 0.01)6-1 @ 1.91% ( -0)5-2 @ 1.33% ( 0.01)7-0 @ 1.18% ( -0.01)Other @ 4.36% Total : 83.81% | 1-1 @ 4.94% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 2.71% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 2.25% ( -0)Other @ 0.76% Total : 10.66% | 1-2 @ 1.76% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 1.6% ( 0)Other @ 2.17% Total : 5.53% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
