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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 83.81%. A draw had a probability of 10.7% and a win for Haverfordwest County had a probability of 5.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.67%) and 4-0 (8.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.94%), while for a Haverfordwest County win it was 1-2 (1.76%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.
Result | ||
The New Saints | Draw | Haverfordwest County |
83.81% ( -0.08) | 10.66% ( 0.04) | 5.53% ( 0.05) |
Both teams to score 48.64% ( 0.16) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
73.04% ( 0.03) | 26.96% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
52.57% ( 0.03) | 47.43% ( -0.03) |
The New Saints Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
95.42% ( -0) | 4.58% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
81.29% ( -0.03) | 18.71% ( 0.03) |
Haverfordwest County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
50.98% ( 0.17) | 49.02% ( -0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
16.03% ( 0.12) | 83.97% ( -0.12) |
Score Analysis |
The New Saints | Draw | Haverfordwest County |
3-0 @ 10.97% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 10.67% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 8.46% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 7.82% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.61% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 6.93% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 6.03% ( 0) 5-0 @ 5.21% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 3.72% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.79% ( 0.02) 6-0 @ 2.68% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 2.15% ( 0.01) 6-1 @ 1.91% ( -0) 5-2 @ 1.33% ( 0.01) 7-0 @ 1.18% ( -0.01) Other @ 4.36% Total : 83.81% | 1-1 @ 4.94% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 2.71% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 2.25% ( -0) Other @ 0.76% Total : 10.66% | 1-2 @ 1.76% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 1.6% ( 0) Other @ 2.17% Total : 5.53% |
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