SM
| Current Third Round Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Japan | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Australia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Saudi Arabia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | China | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Bahrain | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Indonesia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current Third Round Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Japan | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Australia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Saudi Arabia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | China | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Bahrain | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Indonesia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Australia win with a probability of 66.4%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for China had a probability of 13.53%.
The most likely scoreline for an Australia win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.1%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.54%), while for a China win it was 0-1 (4.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Australia | Draw | China |
66.4% ( -10.4) | 20.07% ( 5.01) | 13.53% ( 5.4) |
| Both teams to score 47.4% ( 2.43) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.56% ( -7.38) | 46.44% ( 7.38) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.28% ( -7.34) | 68.72% ( 7.34) |
| Australia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.91% ( -4.67) | 13.1% ( 4.67) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.29% ( -10.44) | 39.72% ( 10.45) |
| China Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.54% ( 5.44) | 45.46% ( -5.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.7% ( 3.97) | 81.3% ( -3.97) |
| Score Analysis |
| Australia | Draw | China |
| 2-0 @ 12.3% ( -0.82) 1-0 @ 12.1% ( 1.5)2-1 @ 9.7% ( 0.84)3-0 @ 8.34% ( -2.48)3-1 @ 6.57% ( -0.74)4-0 @ 4.24% ( -2.46)4-1 @ 3.34% ( -1.18)3-2 @ 2.59% ( 0.12)5-0 @ 1.72% ( -1.59)5-1 @ 1.36% ( -0.88)4-2 @ 1.32% ( -0.21)Other @ 2.83% Total : 66.4% | 1-1 @ 9.54% ( 2.38) 0-0 @ 5.95% ( 1.67)2-2 @ 3.82% ( 0.83)Other @ 0.75% Total : 20.07% | 0-1 @ 4.69% ( 1.8) 1-2 @ 3.76% ( 1.34)0-2 @ 1.85% ( 0.87)2-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.33)1-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.44)Other @ 1.23% Total : 13.53% |
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