World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round

Mar 25, 2025 at 12am UK

Guangxi Sports Center

China
vs.
Australia

Data Analysis

Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - Asia Third Round clash between China and Australia.

Form, Standings, Stats

China

All competitions

Last Game: Bahrain 0-1 China
Thursday, November 14 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Next Game: Saudi Arabia vs. China
Thursday, March 20 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Current Third Round Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Japan	0	0	0
2	Australia	0	0	0
3	Saudi Arabia	0	0	0
4	China	0	0	0
5	Bahrain	0	0	0
6	Indonesia	0	0	0

Australia

All competitions

Last Game: Australia 0-0 Saudi Arabia
Thursday, November 14 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Next Game: Australia vs. Indonesia
Thursday, March 20 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Current Third Round Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Japan	0	0	0
2	Australia	0	0	0
3	Saudi Arabia	0	0	0
4	China	0	0	0
5	Bahrain	0	0	0
6	Indonesia	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Australia win with a probability of 58.58%. A draw has a probability of 23.3% and a win for China has a probability of 18.09%.

The most likely scoreline for an Australia win is 0-1 with a probability of 12.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (11.29%) and 1-2 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.05%), while for a China win it is 1-0 (6.31%).

Result
China	Draw	Australia
18.09% ( 0.7)	23.32% ( 0.47)	58.58% ( -1.18)

Both teams to score 47.58% (

-0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.39% (

-0.82)

51.61% (

0.82)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.6% (

-0.72)

73.4% (

0.72)

China Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.55% (

0.37)

42.44% (

-0.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.18% (

0.32)

78.82% (

-0.32)

Australia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.66% (

-0.71)

17.33% (

0.7)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.28% (

-1.25)

47.72% (

1.25)

Score Analysis

China 18.09%

Australia 58.57%

Draw 23.32%

China	Draw	Australia
1-0 @ 6.31% ( 0.27) 2-1 @ 4.74% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 2.7% ( 0.14) 3-1 @ 1.35% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 1.19% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.81% Total : 18.09%	1-1 @ 11.05% ( 0.22) 0-0 @ 7.36% ( 0.24) 2-2 @ 4.15% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.76% Total : 23.32%	0-1 @ 12.89% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 11.29% ( -0.16) 1-2 @ 9.68% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 6.6% ( -0.25) 1-3 @ 5.66% ( -0.16) 0-4 @ 2.89% ( -0.18) 1-4 @ 2.48% ( -0.13) 2-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.04) 0-5 @ 1.01% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.59% Total : 58.57%