SM
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Iran | 3 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | United Arab Emirates | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | Palestine | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Hong Kong | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Saudi Arabia | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Thailand | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 3 | Oman | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Kyrgyzstan | 3 | -4 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iran win with a probability of 65.27%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Kyrgyzstan had a probability of 14.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Iran win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.21%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.57%), while for a Kyrgyzstan win it was 0-1 (4.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Iran would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Iran | Draw | Kyrgyzstan |
65.27% ( 1.79) | 20.13% ( -0.64) | 14.6% ( -1.15) |
| Both teams to score 50.02% ( -0.67) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.59% ( 0.54) | 44.41% ( -0.54) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.21% ( 0.52) | 66.78% ( -0.52) |
| Iran Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.2% ( 0.7) | 12.8% ( -0.69) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.88% ( 1.41) | 39.12% ( -1.41) |
| Kyrgyzstan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.37% ( -1.23) | 42.63% ( 1.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.02% ( -1.07) | 78.98% ( 1.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Iran | Draw | Kyrgyzstan |
| 2-0 @ 11.53% ( 0.33) 1-0 @ 11.21% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 9.83% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 7.9% ( 0.42)3-1 @ 6.74% ( 0.14)4-0 @ 4.06% ( 0.31)4-1 @ 3.46% ( 0.16)3-2 @ 2.87% ( -0.04)5-0 @ 1.67% ( 0.17)4-2 @ 1.48% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 1.42% ( 0.1)Other @ 3.1% Total : 65.26% | 1-1 @ 9.57% ( -0.3) 0-0 @ 5.46% ( -0.13)2-2 @ 4.19% ( -0.17)Other @ 0.91% Total : 20.13% | 0-1 @ 4.65% ( -0.27) 1-2 @ 4.08% ( -0.27)0-2 @ 1.98% ( -0.19)2-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.12)Other @ 1.53% Total : 14.6% |
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