SM
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Iran | 3 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | United Arab Emirates | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | Palestine | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Hong Kong | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Australia | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Uzbekistan | 3 | 3 | 5 |
| 3 | Syria | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | India | 3 | -6 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iran win with a probability of 46.58%. A win for Uzbekistan had a probability of 28.6% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Iran win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest Uzbekistan win was 0-1 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Iran | Draw | Uzbekistan |
46.58% ( -0.01) | 24.82% ( 0.01) | 28.6% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 55.39% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.56% ( -0.01) | 47.44% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.35% ( -0.01) | 69.65% ( 0.01) |
| Iran Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.57% ( -0.01) | 20.42% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.13% ( -0.02) | 52.87% ( 0.02) |
| Uzbekistan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.6% ( 0) | 30.4% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.41% ( 0) | 66.59% |
| Score Analysis |
| Iran | Draw | Uzbekistan |
| 1-0 @ 9.86% ( 0) 2-1 @ 9.33% ( -0)2-0 @ 7.83% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.94% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.15% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.94% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.96% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.65% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.17% ( -0)Other @ 2.75% Total : 46.58% | 1-1 @ 11.74% 0-0 @ 6.21% ( 0)2-2 @ 5.55% 3-3 @ 1.17% ( -0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.82% | 0-1 @ 7.39% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.99% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.4% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.78% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.21% 0-3 @ 1.75% ( 0)Other @ 3.09% Total : 28.6% |
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