SM
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Mali | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 2 | South Africa | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 3 | Namibia | 3 | -3 | 4 |
| 4 | Tunisia | 3 | -1 | 2 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Africa win with a probability of 85.29%. A draw had a probability of 11% and a win for Lesotho had a probability of 3.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a South Africa win was 2-0 with a probability of 16.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (14.6%) and 1-0 (12.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.97%), while for a Lesotho win it was 0-1 (1.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 16.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for South Africa in this match.
| Result | ||
| South Africa | Draw | Lesotho |
85.29% ( 0.3) | 11.02% ( -0.21) | 3.69% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 31.4% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.92% ( 0.53) | 40.08% ( -0.53) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.55% ( 0.55) | 62.45% ( -0.55) |
| South Africa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.22% ( 0.17) | 6.78% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 74.97% ( 0.47) | 25.03% ( -0.47) |
| Lesotho Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 33.68% ( -0.06) | 66.32% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 6.44% ( -0.03) | 93.56% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| South Africa | Draw | Lesotho |
| 2-0 @ 16.28% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 14.6% ( 0.06)1-0 @ 12.1% ( -0.18)4-0 @ 9.83% ( 0.13)2-1 @ 6.69% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 6% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 5.29% ( 0.12)4-1 @ 4.04% ( 0.04)6-0 @ 2.37% ( 0.08)5-1 @ 2.17% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 1.23% 6-1 @ 0.97% ( 0.03)7-0 @ 0.91% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.8% Total : 85.28% | 1-1 @ 4.97% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 4.5% ( -0.11)2-2 @ 1.37% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.18% Total : 11.02% | 0-1 @ 1.85% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 1.02% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.82% Total : 3.69% |
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