SM
| Current Third Round Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Uzbekistan | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Iran | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Qatar | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | North Korea | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Kyrgyzstan | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | United Arab Emirates | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current Third Round Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Uzbekistan | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Iran | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Qatar | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | North Korea | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Kyrgyzstan | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | United Arab Emirates | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a North Korea win with a probability of 37.49%. A win for Kyrgyzstan has a probability of 35.99% and a draw has a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a North Korea win is 0-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.23%) and 0-2 (6.46%). The likeliest Kyrgyzstan win is 1-0 (9.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.61%).
| Result | ||
| Kyrgyzstan | Draw | North Korea |
35.99% ( -1.73) | 26.52% ( 0.68) | 37.49% ( 1.04) |
| Both teams to score 52.48% ( -2.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.61% ( -2.94) | 52.39% ( 2.93) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.93% ( -2.58) | 74.07% ( 2.58) |
| Kyrgyzstan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72% ( -2.38) | 27.99% ( 2.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.36% ( -3.13) | 63.63% ( 3.13) |
| North Korea Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.88% ( -0.78) | 27.11% ( 0.78) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.5% ( -1.03) | 62.5% ( 1.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kyrgyzstan | Draw | North Korea |
| 1-0 @ 9.66% ( 0.48) 2-1 @ 8.03% ( -0.32)2-0 @ 6.15% ( -0.1)3-1 @ 3.41% ( -0.38)3-0 @ 2.61% ( -0.23)3-2 @ 2.22% ( -0.3)4-1 @ 1.09% ( -0.21)Other @ 2.82% Total : 35.99% | 1-1 @ 12.61% ( 0.36) 0-0 @ 7.59% ( 0.84)2-2 @ 5.24% ( -0.33)3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.16)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.51% | 0-1 @ 9.91% ( 0.9) 1-2 @ 8.23% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 6.46% ( 0.46)1-3 @ 3.58% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 2.81% ( 0.14)2-3 @ 2.28% ( -0.2)1-4 @ 1.17% ( -0.05)0-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.13% Total : 37.49% |
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