Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Werder Bremen win with a probability of 40.01%. A win for Heidenheim had a probability of 36.83% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Werder Bremen win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.4%) and 0-2 (5.33%). The likeliest Heidenheim win was 2-1 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
