Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 48.82%. A win for Adelaide United had a probability of 27.55% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.81%) and 0-2 (7.64%). The likeliest Adelaide United win was 2-1 (6.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
0.15) 
-0.01) 
