SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Wellington Phoenix | 5 | -6 | 4 |
| 11 | Adelaide United | 5 | -2 | 3 |
| 12 | Brisbane Roar | 4 | -5 | 1 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Central Coast Mariners | 5 | 3 | 9 |
| 5 | Melbourne City | 5 | 1 | 8 |
| 6 | Sydney FC | 6 | 1 | 8 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 48.82%. A win for Adelaide United had a probability of 27.55% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.81%) and 0-2 (7.64%). The likeliest Adelaide United win was 2-1 (6.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Adelaide United | Draw | Melbourne City |
27.55% ( 0.15) | 23.63% ( -0.01) | 48.82% ( -0.15) |
| Both teams to score 58.63% ( 0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.19% ( 0.15) | 42.81% ( -0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.79% ( 0.15) | 65.21% ( -0.15) |
| Adelaide United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.23% ( 0.19) | 28.77% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.39% ( 0.23) | 64.61% ( -0.24) |
| Melbourne City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.31% ( 0) | 17.69% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.67% ( 0.01) | 48.33% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Adelaide United | Draw | Melbourne City |
| 2-1 @ 6.84% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 6.34% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 3.95% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.84% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.46% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 1.64% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.48% Total : 27.55% | 1-1 @ 10.98% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.93% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 5.09% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.63% | 1-2 @ 9.51% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 8.81% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 7.64% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 5.49% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 4.41% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 3.42% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 2.38% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.91% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.48% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.76% Total : 48.82% |
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