Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brisbane Roar win with a probability of 49.68%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 26.76% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brisbane Roar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.99%) and 2-0 (7.84%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 1-2 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.
