Melbourne City
1 - 1
Victory

Good (45')
Tilio (42'), Reis (63'), Jenkinson (72'), Colakovski (90')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Rojas (19')
Miranda (29'), D'Agostino (83')

Data Analysis

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Melbourne City and Melbourne Victory.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 66.64%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 14.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.82%) and 1-0 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.89%), while for a Melbourne Victory win it was 1-2 (4.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.

Result
Melbourne City	Draw	Melbourne Victory
66.64%	18.95%	14.4%

Both teams to score 53.56%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.52%

39.48%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.17%

61.82%

Melbourne City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.02%

10.98%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.76%

35.24%

Melbourne Victory Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.17%

39.83%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.5%

76.49%

Score Analysis

Melbourne City 66.64%

Melbourne Victory 14.4%

Draw 18.95%

Melbourne City	Draw	Melbourne Victory
2-0 @ 10.67% 2-1 @ 9.82% 1-0 @ 9.66% 3-0 @ 7.86% 3-1 @ 7.24% 4-0 @ 4.34% 4-1 @ 4% 3-2 @ 3.33% 5-0 @ 1.92% 4-2 @ 1.84% 5-1 @ 1.77% Other @ 4.21% Total : 66.64%	1-1 @ 8.89% 2-2 @ 4.52% 0-0 @ 4.37% 3-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 0.14% Total : 18.95%	1-2 @ 4.09% 0-1 @ 4.03% 0-2 @ 1.85% 2-3 @ 1.39% 1-3 @ 1.26% Other @ 1.78% Total : 14.4%