Melbourne City
3 - 1
Macarthur

Mariappa (28' og.), Berenguer (44'), MacLaren (54' pen.)
Jenkinson (23')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Giannou (15')
Mariappa (36'), Susnjar (81')

Data Analysis

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Melbourne City and Macarthur.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 72.84%. A draw had a probability of 16.2% and a win for Macarthur had a probability of 10.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.37%) and 3-0 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.57%), while for a Macarthur win it was 1-2 (3.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.

Result
Melbourne City	Draw	Macarthur
72.84%	16.23%	10.92%

Both teams to score 52.58%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.62%

35.38%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.59%

57.41%

Melbourne City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.58%

8.42%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

70.75%

29.25%

Macarthur Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.42%

42.58%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.07%

78.93%

Score Analysis

Melbourne City 72.84%

Macarthur 10.92%

Draw 16.23%

Melbourne City	Draw	Macarthur
2-0 @ 10.97% 2-1 @ 9.37% 3-0 @ 9.06% 1-0 @ 8.87% 3-1 @ 7.73% 4-0 @ 5.61% 4-1 @ 4.79% 3-2 @ 3.3% 5-0 @ 2.77% 5-1 @ 2.37% 4-2 @ 2.04% 6-0 @ 1.14% 5-2 @ 1.01% 6-1 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.82% Total : 72.84%	1-1 @ 7.57% 2-2 @ 4% 0-0 @ 3.58% 3-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 0.14% Total : 16.23%	1-2 @ 3.23% 0-1 @ 3.06% 0-2 @ 1.31% 2-3 @ 1.14% 1-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.26% Total : 10.92%