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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 64.37%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Macarthur had a probability of 16.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.21%) and 0-1 (8.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.65%), while for a Macarthur win it was 2-1 (4.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Macarthur | Draw | Melbourne City |
16.56% ( 1.27) | 19.07% ( 1.22) | 64.37% ( -2.49) |
| Both teams to score 58.61% ( -1.62) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.52% ( -3.43) | 35.47% ( 3.43) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.48% ( -3.9) | 57.51% ( 3.9) |
| Macarthur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.43% ( -0.67) | 34.57% ( 0.67) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.71% ( -0.72) | 71.29% ( 0.72) |
| Melbourne City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.58% ( -1.53) | 10.42% ( 1.53) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 66.01% ( -3.58) | 33.98% ( 3.58) |
| Score Analysis |
| Macarthur | Draw | Melbourne City |
| 2-1 @ 4.6% ( 0.33) 1-0 @ 3.83% ( 0.57)2-0 @ 2.03% ( 0.27)3-2 @ 1.84% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 1.63% ( 0.09)Other @ 2.64% Total : 16.56% | 1-1 @ 8.65% ( 0.76) 2-2 @ 5.2% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 3.6% ( 0.59)3-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.12)Other @ 0.23% Total : 19.07% | 1-2 @ 9.78% ( 0.24) 0-2 @ 9.21% ( 0.39)0-1 @ 8.15% ( 0.85)1-3 @ 7.38% ( -0.33)0-3 @ 6.94% ( -0.18)1-4 @ 4.17% ( -0.49)0-4 @ 3.93% ( -0.38)2-3 @ 3.92% ( -0.25)2-4 @ 2.21% ( -0.31)1-5 @ 1.89% ( -0.37)0-5 @ 1.78% ( -0.31)2-5 @ 1% ( -0.22)Other @ 4.02% Total : 64.37% |
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