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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brisbane Roar win with a probability of 43.44%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 31.01% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brisbane Roar win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 0-1 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Brisbane Roar | Draw | Wellington Phoenix |
43.44% ( -0.04) | 25.55% ( -0) | 31.01% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 54.37% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.6% ( 0.03) | 49.39% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.56% ( 0.03) | 71.44% ( -0.03) |
| Brisbane Roar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.34% ( -0.01) | 22.66% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.7% ( -0.02) | 56.3% ( 0.01) |
| Wellington Phoenix Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.3% ( 0.05) | 29.7% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.25% ( 0.06) | 65.75% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Brisbane Roar | Draw | Wellington Phoenix |
| 1-0 @ 9.99% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9% ( -0)2-0 @ 7.42% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.46% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.67% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.71% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.65% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.36% ( -0)4-2 @ 1% ( 0)Other @ 2.18% Total : 43.44% | 1-1 @ 12.12% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.73% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.47% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.1% ( 0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.54% | 0-1 @ 8.17% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.36% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.96% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.98% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.21% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.01% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 0.91% ( 0)Other @ 2.41% Total : 31.01% |
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