SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 25 | Platense | 13 | -10 | 10 |
| 26 | Patronato | 12 | -13 | 10 |
| 27 | Talleres | 13 | -13 | 8 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Gimnasia | 13 | 2 | 21 |
| 7 | Aldosivi | 12 | 4 | 20 |
| 8 | Newell's Old Boys | 12 | 3 | 20 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Patronato win with a probability of 48.52%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Aldosivi had a probability of 24.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Patronato win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.57%) and 2-1 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.54%), while for an Aldosivi win it was 0-1 (8.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Patronato in this match.
| Result | ||
| Patronato | Draw | Aldosivi |
48.52% ( -0.13) | 26.77% ( 0.06) | 24.71% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 46.44% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.39% ( -0.16) | 57.62% ( 0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.62% ( -0.13) | 78.38% ( 0.13) |
| Patronato Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.18% ( -0.13) | 23.82% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.01% ( -0.19) | 57.99% ( 0.19) |
| Aldosivi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.96% ( -0.02) | 39.04% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.24% ( -0.02) | 75.76% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Patronato | Draw | Aldosivi |
| 1-0 @ 13.34% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 9.57% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 9% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 4.58% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 4.31% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.03% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.64% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.54% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.52% Total : 48.52% | 1-1 @ 12.54% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 9.3% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 4.23% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.69% Total : 26.76% | 0-1 @ 8.75% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 5.9% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.11% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.85% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.33% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.48% Total : 24.71% |
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