SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Newell's Old Boys | 12 | 3 | 20 |
| 9 | Tigre | 12 | 7 | 19 |
| 10 | Argentinos Juniors | 12 | 3 | 19 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 22 | Central Cordoba | 12 | -8 | 11 |
| 23 | Rosario Central | 12 | -6 | 10 |
| 24 | Atletico Tucuman | 12 | -9 | 10 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigre win with a probability of 52.62%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Rosario Central had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tigre win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.33%) and 2-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12%), while for a Rosario Central win it was 0-1 (7.71%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tigre would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Tigre | Draw | Rosario Central |
52.62% ( 0.03) | 25.48% ( -0.1) | 21.9% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 47.03% ( 0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.69% ( 0.41) | 55.3% ( -0.41) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.48% ( 0.34) | 76.52% ( -0.34) |
| Tigre Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.95% ( 0.18) | 21.05% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.15% ( 0.28) | 53.85% ( -0.28) |
| Rosario Central Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.57% ( 0.3) | 40.42% ( -0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.96% ( 0.27) | 77.04% ( -0.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tigre | Draw | Rosario Central |
| 1-0 @ 13.25% ( -0.14) 2-0 @ 10.33% ( -0.05)2-1 @ 9.36% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 5.37% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.86% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.2% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 2.09% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.89% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.26% Total : 52.61% | 1-1 @ 12% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 8.51% ( -0.14)2-2 @ 4.24% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.73% Total : 25.47% | 0-1 @ 7.71% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 5.44% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 3.49% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.64% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.29% Total : 21.9% |
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