SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | River Plate | 13 | 18 | 26 |
| 4 | Boca Juniors | 13 | 6 | 24 |
| 5 | Defensa y Justicia | 12 | 7 | 22 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 22 | Central Cordoba | 12 | -8 | 11 |
| 23 | Rosario Central | 12 | -6 | 10 |
| 24 | Atletico Tucuman | 12 | -9 | 10 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 62.17%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Rosario Central had a probability of 16.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.59%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.32%), while for a Rosario Central win it was 0-1 (5.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Boca Juniors | Draw | Rosario Central |
62.17% ( -0.02) | 21.72% ( 0.03) | 16.11% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 48.48% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.67% ( -0.13) | 48.33% ( 0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.53% ( -0.12) | 70.47% ( 0.12) |
| Boca Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.01% ( -0.05) | 14.99% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.56% ( -0.1) | 43.44% ( 0.1) |
| Rosario Central Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.03% ( -0.09) | 42.97% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.73% ( -0.08) | 79.26% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Boca Juniors | Draw | Rosario Central |
| 1-0 @ 12.22% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 11.59% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 9.8% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 7.34% ( 0)3-1 @ 6.2% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 3.48% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.94% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.62% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.32% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.24% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.12% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.3% Total : 62.16% | 1-1 @ 10.32% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.44% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 4.14% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.82% Total : 21.72% | 0-1 @ 5.44% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 4.36% ( -0)0-2 @ 2.3% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.23% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.62% Total : 16.11% |
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