SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 23 | Rosario Central | 12 | -6 | 10 |
| 24 | Atletico Tucuman | 12 | -9 | 10 |
| 25 | Platense | 13 | -10 | 10 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 12 | Huracan | 13 | 1 | 18 |
| 13 | Sarmiento | 12 | -7 | 18 |
| 14 | Union | 13 | -1 | 17 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Tucuman win with a probability of 53.08%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Sarmiento had a probability of 19.98%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Tucuman win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.39%) and 2-1 (8.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.15%), while for a Sarmiento win it was 0-1 (8.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Atletico Tucuman in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Atletico Tucuman.
| Result | ||
| Atletico Tucuman | Draw | Sarmiento |
53.08% ( 0.02) | 26.93% ( 0.11) | 19.98% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 40.94% ( -0.43) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38% ( -0.47) | 62% ( 0.47) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.26% ( -0.35) | 81.73% ( 0.35) |
| Atletico Tucuman Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.34% ( -0.2) | 23.66% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.24% ( -0.28) | 57.76% ( 0.28) |
| Sarmiento Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.63% ( -0.43) | 46.36% ( 0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.99% ( -0.33) | 82% ( 0.33) |
| Score Analysis |
| Atletico Tucuman | Draw | Sarmiento |
| 1-0 @ 15.81% ( 0.19) 2-0 @ 11.39% ( 0.07)2-1 @ 8.76% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 5.48% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.21% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 1.97% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.62% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.52% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.32% Total : 53.08% | 1-1 @ 12.15% 0-0 @ 10.96% ( 0.19)2-2 @ 3.37% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.44% Total : 26.92% | 0-1 @ 8.43% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 4.67% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 3.24% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.44% Total : 19.98% |
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