SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Aldosivi | 12 | 4 | 20 |
| 8 | Newell's Old Boys | 12 | 3 | 20 |
| 9 | Tigre | 12 | 7 | 19 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 17 | San Lorenzo | 14 | -2 | 15 |
| 18 | Lanus | 13 | -1 | 14 |
| 19 | Arsenal Sarandi | 12 | 0 | 13 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newell's Old Boys win with a probability of 51.38%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Lanus had a probability of 21.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newell's Old Boys win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.61%) and 2-1 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.34%), while for a Lanus win it was 0-1 (8.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newell's Old Boys would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Newell's Old Boys | Draw | Lanus |
51.38% ( 0.05) | 26.76% ( -0.06) | 21.86% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 43.6% ( 0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.21% ( 0.23) | 59.79% ( -0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.93% ( 0.17) | 80.07% ( -0.17) |
| Newell's Old Boys Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.54% ( 0.12) | 23.46% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.53% ( 0.17) | 57.47% ( -0.17) |
| Lanus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.96% ( 0.15) | 43.04% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.68% ( 0.13) | 79.32% ( -0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Newell's Old Boys | Draw | Lanus |
| 1-0 @ 14.63% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 10.61% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 8.95% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 5.13% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.33% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.86% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.82% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.57% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.48% Total : 51.37% | 1-1 @ 12.34% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 10.09% ( -0.09)2-2 @ 3.77% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.55% Total : 26.76% | 0-1 @ 8.51% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 5.2% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 3.59% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.46% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.01% ( 0)Other @ 1.03% Total : 21.86% |
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