SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botafogo win with a probability of 54.2%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 20.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Botafogo win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.95%) and 2-1 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.89%), while for a Defensa y Justicia win it was 0-1 (7.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Botafogo | Draw | Defensa y Justicia |
54.2% ( -0.07) | 25.44% ( 0.03) | 20.36% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 45.19% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.31% ( -0.06) | 56.68% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.35% ( -0.05) | 77.64% ( 0.05) |
| Botafogo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.05% ( -0.05) | 20.95% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.3% ( -0.08) | 53.7% ( 0.08) |
| Defensa y Justicia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.17% ( 0) | 42.83% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.86% ( 0) | 79.14% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Botafogo | Draw | Defensa y Justicia |
| 1-0 @ 14.02% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 10.95% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 9.29% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 5.71% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.84% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.23% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.05% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.89% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.19% Total : 54.19% | 1-1 @ 11.89% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.97% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 3.94% ( -0)Other @ 0.63% Total : 25.44% | 0-1 @ 7.61% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 5.04% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.23% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.43% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.11% 0-3 @ 0.91% ( 0)Other @ 1.03% Total : 20.36% |
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