SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 15 | Colon | 13 | 0 | 16 |
| 16 | Godoy Cruz | 12 | -1 | 15 |
| 17 | San Lorenzo | 14 | -2 | 15 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Gimnasia | 13 | 2 | 21 |
| 7 | Aldosivi | 12 | 4 | 20 |
| 8 | Newell's Old Boys | 12 | 3 | 20 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Godoy Cruz win with a probability of 62.03%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Aldosivi had a probability of 15.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Godoy Cruz win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.46%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.59%), while for an Aldosivi win it was 0-1 (5.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Godoy Cruz would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Godoy Cruz | Draw | Aldosivi |
62.03% ( 0.02) | 22.55% ( -0.02) | 15.42% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 44.58% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.22% ( 0.07) | 52.77% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.6% ( 0.06) | 74.4% ( -0.06) |
| Godoy Cruz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.45% ( 0.03) | 16.55% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.68% ( 0.06) | 46.31% ( -0.06) |
| Aldosivi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.43% ( 0.04) | 46.57% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.84% ( 0.03) | 82.16% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Godoy Cruz | Draw | Aldosivi |
| 1-0 @ 13.86% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 12.46% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 9.53% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 7.48% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.71% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 3.36% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.57% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.18% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.21% ( 0)4-2 @ 0.98% ( 0)5-1 @ 0.93% ( 0)Other @ 1.74% Total : 62.02% | 1-1 @ 10.59% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.71% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 3.64% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.61% Total : 22.54% | 0-1 @ 5.89% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.05% ( 0)0-2 @ 2.25% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.03% ( 0)2-3 @ 0.93% ( 0)Other @ 1.27% Total : 15.42% |
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