SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Gimnasia | 13 | 2 | 21 |
| 7 | Aldosivi | 12 | 4 | 20 |
| 8 | Newell's Old Boys | 12 | 3 | 20 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 23 | Rosario Central | 12 | -6 | 10 |
| 24 | Atletico Tucuman | 12 | -9 | 10 |
| 25 | Platense | 13 | -10 | 10 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aldosivi win with a probability of 40.87%. A draw had a probability of 29.7% and a win for Atletico Tucuman had a probability of 29.46%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aldosivi win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.26%) and 2-1 (7.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.34%), while for an Atletico Tucuman win it was 0-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Atletico Tucuman would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Aldosivi | Draw | Atletico Tucuman |
40.87% ( 0.03) | 29.67% ( 0) | 29.46% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 41.9% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.13% ( -0.02) | 64.87% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.2% ( -0.02) | 83.8% ( 0.02) |
| Aldosivi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.75% ( 0) | 31.25% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.4% ( 0.01) | 67.6% ( -0) |
| Atletico Tucuman Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.94% ( -0.04) | 39.06% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.22% ( -0.04) | 75.78% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aldosivi | Draw | Atletico Tucuman |
| 1-0 @ 14.19% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.26% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 7.76% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.2% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.01% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.42% ( -0)4-0 @ 0.93% ( 0)Other @ 2.1% Total : 40.86% | 1-1 @ 13.34% 0-0 @ 12.2% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 3.65% ( -0)Other @ 0.47% Total : 29.66% | 0-1 @ 11.47% 1-2 @ 6.27% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.39% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.69% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.14% ( -0)Other @ 1.51% Total : 29.45% |
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