Off the back of a tough start to the season, River Plate have looked the part of late and will back themselves to claim all three points here. We fancy them to emerge victorious and keep the juggernaut rolling on. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 71.16%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Aldosivi had a probability of 11.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.88%) and 1-2 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.4%), while for an Aldosivi win it was 1-0 (3.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.

Result
Aldosivi	Draw	River Plate
11.18% ( 0.29)	17.66% ( 0.2)	71.16% ( -0.49)

Both teams to score 48.15% (

0.33)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.44% (

-0.11)

41.56% (

0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.04% (

-0.11)

63.96% (

0.12)

Aldosivi Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.74% (

0.46)

46.25% (

-0.46)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.08% (

0.35)

81.92% (

-0.35)

River Plate Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.59% (

-0.15)

10.4% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

66.05% (

-0.35)

33.94% (

0.35)

Score Analysis

Aldosivi 11.18%

River Plate 71.15%

Draw 17.66%

Aldosivi	Draw	River Plate
1-0 @ 3.71% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 3.24% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 1.43% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 0.94% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.86% Total : 11.18%	1-1 @ 8.4% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 4.81% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 3.66% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.79% Total : 17.66%	0-2 @ 12.32% ( -0.1) 0-1 @ 10.88% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 9.5% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 9.3% ( -0.14) 1-3 @ 7.17% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 5.26% ( -0.11) 1-4 @ 4.06% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.76% ( 0.03) 0-5 @ 2.38% ( -0.07) 1-5 @ 1.84% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 1.56% ( 0.01) Other @ 4.13% Total : 71.15%