SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 19 | Arsenal Sarandi | 12 | 0 | 13 |
| 20 | Independiente | 13 | -4 | 13 |
| 21 | Velez Sarsfield | 12 | -2 | 12 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 22 | Central Cordoba | 12 | -8 | 11 |
| 23 | Rosario Central | 12 | -6 | 10 |
| 24 | Atletico Tucuman | 12 | -9 | 10 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 48.97%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Rosario Central had a probability of 25.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.27%), while for a Rosario Central win it was 0-1 (8.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Independiente | Draw | Rosario Central |
48.97% ( 0.03) | 25.89% ( -0.01) | 25.13% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 49.31% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.92% ( 0.02) | 54.08% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.49% ( 0.02) | 75.51% ( -0.02) |
| Independiente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.89% ( 0.02) | 22.11% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.53% ( 0.03) | 55.47% ( -0.03) |
| Rosario Central Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.3% ( -0.01) | 36.7% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.51% ( -0.01) | 73.48% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Independiente | Draw | Rosario Central |
| 1-0 @ 12.24% 2-1 @ 9.26% ( 0)2-0 @ 9.24% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.66% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.65% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.34% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.76% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.75% ( 0)Other @ 3.07% Total : 48.97% | 1-1 @ 12.27% 0-0 @ 8.11% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.64% Other @ 0.86% Total : 25.88% | 0-1 @ 8.13% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.15% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.08% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.06% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.55% 0-3 @ 1.36% ( -0)Other @ 1.8% Total : 25.14% |
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