Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newell's Old Boys win with a probability of 49.47%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Atletico Tucuman had a probability of 23.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newell's Old Boys win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.86%) and 2-1 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.47%), while for an Atletico Tucuman win it was 0-1 (8.63%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newell's Old Boys would win this match.