SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Racing Club | 14 | 15 | 30 |
| 2 | Estudiantes | 13 | 15 | 28 |
| 3 | River Plate | 13 | 18 | 26 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Gimnasia | 13 | 2 | 21 |
| 7 | Aldosivi | 12 | 4 | 20 |
| 8 | Newell's Old Boys | 12 | 3 | 20 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing Club win with a probability of 67.66%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Aldosivi had a probability of 12.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing Club win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.7%) and 2-1 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.51%), while for an Aldosivi win it was 0-1 (4.85%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Racing Club would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Racing Club | Draw | Aldosivi |
67.66% ( 1.43) | 20.32% ( -0.62) | 12.02% ( -0.81) |
| Both teams to score 42.4% ( -0.48) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.18% ( 0.68) | 50.81% ( -0.68) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.29% ( 0.59) | 72.7% ( -0.6) |
| Racing Club Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.92% ( 0.66) | 14.07% ( -0.66) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.32% ( 1.28) | 41.67% ( -1.29) |
| Aldosivi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 49.35% ( -0.95) | 50.65% ( 0.94) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 14.89% ( -0.65) | 85.1% ( 0.65) |
| Score Analysis |
| Racing Club | Draw | Aldosivi |
| 1-0 @ 13.97% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 13.7% ( 0.27)2-1 @ 9.32% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 8.96% ( 0.39)3-1 @ 6.09% ( 0.1)4-0 @ 4.39% ( 0.29)4-1 @ 2.99% ( 0.12)3-2 @ 2.07% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 1.72% ( 0.15)5-1 @ 1.17% ( 0.07)4-2 @ 1.02% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.25% Total : 67.65% | 1-1 @ 9.51% ( -0.3) 0-0 @ 7.13% ( -0.2)2-2 @ 3.17% ( -0.11)Other @ 0.51% Total : 20.32% | 0-1 @ 4.85% ( -0.27) 1-2 @ 3.23% ( -0.19)0-2 @ 1.65% ( -0.14)Other @ 2.28% Total : 12.02% |
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