SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Racing Club | 14 | 15 | 30 |
| 2 | Estudiantes | 13 | 15 | 28 |
| 3 | River Plate | 13 | 18 | 26 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Fenix | 15 | -1 | 23 |
| 8 | River Plate | 15 | 5 | 21 |
| 9 | Montevideo Wanderers | 15 | 5 | 21 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing Club win with a probability of 49.4%. A win for River Plate had a probability of 26.71% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing Club win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.4%) and 2-0 (8.02%). The likeliest River Plate win was 1-2 (6.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Racing Club | Draw | River Plate |
49.4% ( 0.12) | 23.89% ( -0.01) | 26.71% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 57.01% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.38% ( -0.02) | 44.62% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.01% ( -0.02) | 66.99% ( 0.02) |
| Racing Club Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.84% ( 0.04) | 18.16% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.86% ( 0.07) | 49.14% ( -0.07) |
| River Plate Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.66% ( -0.09) | 30.34% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.47% ( -0.11) | 66.53% ( 0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Racing Club | Draw | River Plate |
| 2-1 @ 9.56% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.4% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 8.02% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 5.44% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.56% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.24% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.32% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.95% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.38% ( 0)Other @ 3.53% Total : 49.4% | 1-1 @ 11.21% 2-2 @ 5.7% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 5.51% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.29% ( -0)Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.89% | 1-2 @ 6.69% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 6.57% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.92% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.66% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.27% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.05% Total : 26.71% |
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