Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 3

Jun 17, 2022 at 1.30am UK

Estadio Presidente Juan Domingo Perón

Racing
2 - 0
Velez Sarsfield

Rojas (30'), Dominguez (90')
Cardona (38'), Copetti (51'), Sigali (81')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Osorio (8'), Perrone (57'), Fernandez (89'), Gomez (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Racing Club and Velez Sarsfield, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Racing Club 1-1 Velez Sarsfield

We put these sides on a relatively level playing field and cannot quite pick a winner in Friday's contest. Both teams will aim to bounce back from disappointing results, and we see a share of the spoils as the most likely outcome. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing Club win with a probability of 48.82%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Velez Sarsfield had a probability of 24.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Racing Club win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.58%) and 2-1 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.48%), while for a Velez Sarsfield win it was 0-1 (8.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Racing Club would win this match.

Result
Racing Club	Draw	Velez Sarsfield
48.82% ( 1.33)	26.58% ( -0.24)	24.59% ( -1.09)

Both teams to score 46.85% (

-0.28)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.96% (

0.12)

57.03% (

-0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.08% (

0.1)

77.92% (

-0.1)

Racing Club Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.57% (

0.67)

23.42% (

-0.67)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.58% (

0.97)

57.42% (

-0.97)

Velez Sarsfield Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.18% (

-0.91)

38.82% (

0.91)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.45% (

-0.87)

75.55% (

0.87)

Score Analysis

Racing Club 48.82%

Velez Sarsfield 24.59%

Draw 26.57%

Racing Club	Draw	Velez Sarsfield
1-0 @ 13.19% ( 0.19) 2-0 @ 9.58% ( 0.33) 2-1 @ 9.06% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 4.63% ( 0.25) 3-1 @ 4.38% ( 0.13) 3-2 @ 2.07% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.68% ( 0.12) 4-1 @ 1.59% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.62% Total : 48.82%	1-1 @ 12.48% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 9.09% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 4.29% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.71% Total : 26.57%	0-1 @ 8.61% ( -0.26) 1-2 @ 5.91% ( -0.21) 0-2 @ 4.07% ( -0.23) 1-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.11) Other @ 1.51% Total : 24.59%